EconoMonitor

Great Leap Forward

Raise the Debt Limit or Abolish the Debt?

I had wanted to move on to another topic. To be precise, I wanted to write about the continuing foreclosure scandal aided and abetted by robo-signing. And cooking of the books by the biggest banks, that are insolvent in spite of their cooked-book-profits announced today. And the continuing and massive go-to-jail fraud they are still committing.

Or I would like to write about the continuing deterioration of the jobs picture, and the fact that by a factor of eight to one the American population is more concerned about jobs than about the budget deficit.

But the Pete Peterson-fueled debt hysteria in Washington simply drowns out all other issues. Yes, we know it is all politics. But sometimes sheer politics is deadly. In the literal sense. Given their way, the Obama administration, the Democrats, and the Republicans want to team up to kill tens of thousands of Americans through budget cuts targeted to the most vulnerable. I’m sorry, but there is quite simply no other way to put this. In the worst economic calamity since the 1930s, they want to cut Federal government safety nets, which necessarily will mean more cuts at the state and local governments level. And those safety nets are the only thing standing between life and death for millions of Americans.

But that does not matter within the beltway. The only thing that matters is the projection of infinite horizon budget deficits. It should be too silly for words. But it has become too serious to ignore.

Washington has admitted that this is all about appearances. Obama wants to eliminate New Deal safety nets, because that is the portfolio handed to him by his Wall Street handlers. And that is consistent with the mandate most Republicans feel they have from their far right tea-partiers.

The political center frets that this could hurt them in the next election—both Dems and Republicans. So they would like for Obama to take all the heat. The Republican leadership is thus poised for a grand compromise—let us play a game of charades in which we propose radical cuts and caps and balanced budget amendments that will never make it through the Senate. Dems can feel vindicated that they stood up for the common man. Obama will then be handed the axe so that he can cut anything that smells Rooseveltian. He will be a one term president, but that has always been the foregone conclusion. The Democrats will be able to hand a thoroughly broken economy and society over to the Republicans, and pray they—too—will serve for only one term.

If we had a democracy, or even a parliamentary system, we’d throw all the bums out. We’d declare a completely dysfunctional government and send them packing. Unfortunately, we cannot do that. We’ve got to find a solution acceptable to the elected politicians we’ve got. I see only two paths to solution.

One is to eliminate the debt ceilings. These might have been appropriate back in the era of WWI when they were first imposed. The US was on a gold standard. The prospects of war threatened the gold reserves. It made sense to impose a debt ceiling, since federal government IOUs were backed by gold, and with ramped up war-time spending, we’d run out of gold soon enough. But we gave up gold almost two generations ago. The debt ceiling has served as nothing more than an opportunity for pompous and intellectually challenged politicians from backwater districts to insert the morality of “living within our means” into discussions of government spending. This was routinely ignored by all politicians who had served more than two years in Washington, and who had thereby learned the difference between household and national budgets.

But no longer. Washington is full of backwater politicians, or wannabe backwater politicians. None of them wants to admit that she or he can distinguish between her or his household budget and the public purpose. All government spending is reduced to a household decision over whether to buy groceries or petrol for the family automobile. Again, too silly for words, but that is all that Washington can muster in the name of serving the public interest.

And so the debt limit cannot be eliminated; it can only be raised, ever so slightly, so that backwater politicians get to take a moral stance every few months.

The other alternative is to eliminate the federal government debt, ending the debate. With no debt to fret about, Washington might be forced to move on to some other issue. I admit that is a scary thought. The next issue will likely concern what consenting adults will be allowed to do in the privacy of their own homes. Or what woman can do with their own bodies. We’ll have to take the chance.

So, how do we eliminate the debt? The easiest way is to change the operating procedures adopted by the Fed and Treasury. I know that some “experts” will immediately object—some of these procedures are grounded in law. My recommendation is to follow the practice adopted by all major US corporations: formulate the preferred course of action, then hire a team of lawyers to figure out how to get around any laws that stand in the way. If necessary change some laws. (That is how Wall Street got around Glass Steagall.)

The changes involved are really quite minor. All modern sovereign governments actually spend by crediting bank accounts, and the reserves of those banks; they tax by reversing those actions, debiting bank accounts and reserves of the banks. Bond sales are simply a reserve-draining operation that offer bonds as an alternative to reserves. The real purpose is to let banks earn interest on reserves. In the old days (up to two years ago) reserves paid zero interest; they now pay 25 basis points.

So… just stop selling the bonds. Let banks earn 25 basis points on reserves.

The change to operating procedures would be to cut out the middlemen. Current procedures involve some special types of banks as well as the Fed. The Treasury must sell bonds first before spending, to get deposits into its account at the Fed on which it cuts checks. I really do not want to get into all the wonky stuff here, as it is explained very well in a number of places—especially over at the blog site New Economic Perspectives (Yogi says: google it).

There is a prohibition on the Fed that prevents it from accepting Treasury IOUs in return for crediting the Treasury’s checking account at the Fed. If you think (deeply?) about it, that is a very strange constraint. Any other bank can accept the Treasury’s IOUs and credit the Treasury’s demand deposit. Indeed, YOUR bank can accept your IOUs and credit your demand deposit! Drop the constraint, and the Treasury would never have to sell bonds into markets again. Never. Ever. No more outstanding debt.

Now, that will not satisfy Pete Peterson deficit hysterian storm troopers. They count Treasury IOUs held by the Fed and by the Social Security Trustees as debt, included in the debt limit. Think about that. The government issues IOUs to itself. That is counted as outstanding debt, subject to debt limits. Credit rating agencies (who were willing to rate the most toxic subprime mortgages as perfectly safe) also count government IOUs to itself when they assess credit risk. As if the Fed or Social Security would demand payment and force the Treasury into default. Right. You issue IOUs to yourself and then force yourself into bankruptcy court. Again, too silly for comment. But silliness is what governance is now all about.

So here is another solution, now making the rounds. (See, for example http://my.firedoglake.com/beowulf/2011/01/03/coin-seigniorage-and-the-irrelevance-of-the-debt-limit/ and here http://moslereconomics.com/2011/01/20/joe-firestone-post-on-sidestepping-the-debt-ceiling-issue-with-coin-seigniorage/ ) An obscure 1996 US law allows the Treasury to mint platinum coins in any denomination desired. (Treasury has actually hoarded some platinum for this purpose.) Suppose it issues just three coins, each in a denomination of $1 trillion each. Remember, Treasury has the constitutional right to coin money. It deposits these with the Fed and asks for a credit to its demand deposit in the amount of $3 trillion. It then goes on a buying spree.

It buys nothing but Treasuries. This leads to a debit of its outstanding debt, and a debit to its demand deposit at the Fed. The Fed holds the $3 trillion of platinum coins as assets; and credits the private banks with $3 trillion of reserves (banks either sell their Treasuries directly, or indirectly handle sales for their customers). End of debt hysteria, as the outstanding Treasuries are reduced by $3 trillion—way below the debt limit.

Note the similarity to QE2, in which the Fed bought Treasuries and credited bank reserves. The Treasuries ended up at the Fed. The problem is that debt warriors still count that as debt toward the debt limit. So the platinum coinage just takes QE a step further—eliminating the Treasuries altogether, rather than moving them to the Fed. Indeed, the Treasury could buy Treasuries from the Fed by issuing more platinum coins.

OK I know our Austerian goldbug friends are already crying about hyperinflation. Oh, no, printing “money” (platinum coins)! No worries—they are safely locked up at the Fed. They cannot get out. The only implication is that bank reserves go up as Treasuries outstanding are substituted by reserves. (If the Treasury buys Treasuries from the Fed, reserves do not even go up.)

But that is what QE did. Where’s the inflation? Reserves are in turn safely locked up at the Fed—bank assets and Fed liabilities. They cannot “get out” to cause hyperinflationary havoc. Unless you have a checking account at the Fed, you will never get hold of a “reserve”.

All it really amounts to is a debit from a bank’s saving account (interest earning Treasuries) and a credit to its checking account (low interest earning reserves) at the Fed. If anything this would help to reduce inflation pressures (if they existed) by reducing interest payments by government (that turn up as someone’s income that can be spent).

And “presto change-o”, we’ve got rid of $3 trillion worth of interest-paying debt. Instead, the Fed is sitting there with $3 trillion worth of platinum coins, that pay no interest. So what we’ve really done is substituted a zero interest Treasury IOU (three stamped coins in the amount of $1 trillion each) for an interest paying IOU (Treasury bills or bonds).

Now that is something all our Peterson-funded deficit hawks ought to love.

2,875 Responses to “Raise the Debt Limit or Abolish the Debt?”

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flow5July 20th, 2011 at 3:56 pm

How stupid, you first have to have $3 trillion dollars worth of the metal (platinum), to mint coins.

liberalJuly 20th, 2011 at 4:31 pm

Nope. The statute says nothing about the coin having to contain an amount of metal equal to its face value.

steve from virginiaJuly 20th, 2011 at 10:21 pm

First of all, I have to thank you and others such as Joe Firestone, 'Beowulf', Yves Smith and yourself for showing up with a little imagination. What is seen in the Capital is non-thinking. In a time of emergency I don' t understand it.

Treasury gold-backed currency and demurrage money:
http://www.economic-undertow.com/2011/07/03/lack-…

Running discussion on Treasury issued currency here and elsewhere.

A default is unavoidable, btw. It's 'conservation by other means'.

ejhickeyJuly 21st, 2011 at 3:03 am

so why use platinum or any other precious metal? You could make the coin from discarded aluminum cans. why use metal at all? just make a cardboard coin and assign it an arbitrary value.

Clonal AntibodyJuly 21st, 2011 at 4:07 am

This is because the arbitrary denomination privilege given to the Secretary of the Treasury only applies to platinum coins. It does not apply to any other metal or combination of metals. This is an exploitation of a loophole, whether by design, or by oversight, but a loophole nevertheless.

Please read the coin seigniorage articles to understand which legal statutes or operational in this gambit.

Steve RothJuly 21st, 2011 at 3:53 pm

The statute says treasury can mint platinum "bullion" coins. By my understanding, a bullion coin's value is — by definition — determined by the value of its metal content. So it doesn't seem like there's any authorization there to mint platinum coins with fiat values.

Don't get me wrong: I love the idea. But I don't think there's an end run available there.

L. Randall WrayJuly 21st, 2011 at 4:02 pm

Clonal and Steve: Right. The 1996 law apparently gives Treasury authority to mint platinum coins in any denomination. Note that no currently minted coin in the US has an embodied metal content close to the nominal value of the coin–indeed, Geithner's proposal to raise the value of pennies to 5cents was to reduce minting costs (in other words to increase nominal value further above the value of the metal). So that is why this proposal uses platinum. Otherwise, I'd be all over the proposal to use the pull tabs from aluminum cans!
Thanks for comments. LRWray

BreezyOhioJuly 21st, 2011 at 4:11 pm

This whole thing just goes to show how "illusionary" money really is. Until you're poor that is.

Tom HickeyJuly 21st, 2011 at 9:54 pm

The statute says that platinum coins can be bullion or proof. Bullion coins must equal to the value of the metal. Proof, not. Treasury can mint a proof coin and stamp it 'One Trillion Dollars," no problem.

Rodger Malcolm MitchellJuly 22nd, 2011 at 5:46 pm

It is 100% definite we are headed for another recession — if we are lucky. Not lucky = depression. Reducing the federal deficit reduces non-federal savings, and that doesn't even consider the annual loss in the current account.

Welcome to the United States of Lemming, where our leaders guide us over the cliff, and we all blindly follow.

Rodger Malcolm Mitchell

Illini FanJuly 23rd, 2011 at 5:43 pm

Question: There are certainly some interesting ideas. However, I understand how relationship of the Treasury is to the Fed in this example. What happens if the United States has 10 X in payments to be made to other countries, Social Security, Defense, etc. and only 7 X in money coming in where does the money come from to give them their money. Granted they are being sent checks but checks are a negotiable instrument and can be turned into cash. So if everything was being paid in cash like way back when, where does the extra money come from?? Thanks in advance for the explanation.

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I’ll gear this review to 2 types of people: current Zune owners who are considering an upgrade, and people trying to decide between a Zune and an iPod. (There are other players worth considering out there, like the Sony Walkman X, but I hope this gives you enough info to make an informed decision of the Zune vs players other than the iPod line as well.)

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Apple now has Rhapsody as an app, which is a great start, but it is currently hampered by the inability to store locally on your iPod, and has a dismal 64kbps bit rate. If this changes, then it will somewhat negate this advantage for the Zune, but the 10 songs per month will still be a big plus in Zune Pass’ favor.

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Δώστε μας την ευκαιρία να προσφέρουμε και σε σας το ολοκληρωμένο επίπεδο εξυπηρέτησης που απολαμβάνουν οι ευχαριστημένοι πελάτες και συνεργάτες μας:

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