A universal basic income (UBI) and unemployment insurance (UI) are two possible forms of social insurance for an economy in which job loss is a significant risk. Which works better? How generous should either program be? Would a combination of the two be best of all? These are the questions that Alice Fabre, Stéphane Pallage, [...]
OK, file this in the “I never thought I’d live to see the day” category. Yes, Virginia, Taxes Drive Money. Peter Thiel, founder of PayPal understands his business model. He’s leveraging currency. His PayPal money is denominated in Uncle Sam’s money (and 24 other national currencies). Ultimately, USA demand for PayPal money is driven by [...]
Japan’s recession is not paving the way for sustained growth. It is prolonging new debt and liquidity and thus deteriorating fiscal discipline. In the last quarter, Japan’s economy fell into recession. In the West, it was characterized as “unexpected.” The realities are precisely the reverse. With its third ’lost decade,’ Japan has entered an era [...]
Central Bank Divergence
The divergence of monetary policies in the advanced economies continues to roil financial markets.
Must ReadDon't Shoot the Messenger
The recent move by the Bank of Japan to take further measures to accelerate the rate at which it ramps up its balance sheet took almost everyone – market watchers included – completely by surprise. The consequence was reasonably predictable – the yen has once more fallen strongly against almost all major currencies – and [...]
The attempt to dismantle the so-called Islamic State is important but also extraordinarily challenging. The U.S. must maintain a meaningful coalition to strike ISIL without simultaneously keeping Hafez Al Assad in power and without offending all the non-ISIL Sunnis in Iraq.