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National Saving Rates Across Europe: Diverse

Author: Rebecca Wilder  ·   ·   › Share This Print

Greece – it’s the Eurozone’s black sheep. If this isn’t a Hail Mary, I don’t know what is: Greece Plans Bond Issue Soon. From the Wall Street Journal:

Greece said Friday that it plans to syndicate a five-year benchmark bond next week to address renewed market jitters over its ability to finance its giant budget deficit, even as yields on Greek debt hit a new high. The bond, long awaited by market participants and seen as a key test of Greece’s ability to attract investors, will raise between€3 billion and €5 billion, the head of the country’s debt agency said.

But Greece is in good company – the so-called PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece, and Spain). In fact, the low saving is broad-based, with net national saving – net national saving is an aggregate measure of saving, including private and public sectors – being the lowest in Portugal, –6.9% of gross disposable income on average spanning 2007-2008, and highest in Switzerland, +13.9% over the same period.

national_saving_europe_thumb%5B9%5D.png?imgmax=800

This differential of saving patterns across Europe, i.e., Germany saves and Portugal does not, stalls any sort of bailout talk – technically, the Maastricht Treaty prohibits inter-government bailouts. However, if Greece’s Hail Mary bond issuance doesn’t work, something’s got to give. Marshall Auerback offers an interesting solution.

Greece is simply the first in a long line of European (worldwide, actually) countries that face fiscal consolidation (see two FT articles by Martin Wolf, here and here).

So we wait and see.

Originally published at News N Economics and reproduced here with the author’s permission.

Filed under: Uncategorized

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Edwin G. Dolan is an economist and educator with a Ph.D. from Yale University. Early in his career, he was a member of the economics faculty at Dartmouth College, the University of Chicago, and George Mason University. From 1990 to 2001, he taught in Moscow, Russia, where he and his wife founded the American Institute of Business and Economics (AIBEc), an independent, not-for-profit MBA program. Since 2001, he has taught at several universities in Europe, including Central European University in Budapest, the University of Economics in Prague, and the Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, where he has an ongoing annual visiting appointment. During breaks in his teaching career, he worked in Washington, D.C. as an economist for the Antitrust Division of the Department of Justice and as a regulatory analyst for the Interstate Commerce Commission, and later served a stint in Almaty as an adviser to the National Bank of Kazakhstan. When not lecturing abroad, he makes his home in San Juan Islands, Washington.

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