EconoMonitor

Nouriel Roubini's Global EconoMonitor

  • Nouriel Roubini Speaks at NYFA 2013: Is Africa’s Robust Growth Sustainable?

    Over 600 business and political leaders gathered recently in Libreville, Gabon, to debate and help shape Africa’s road map. RGE Chairman Nouriel Roubini shared his perspective on what the future holds for this region and provided policy guidance. As attendees looked at whether the increasingly robust economic growth in Africa is sustainable, Roubini talked about [...]

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  • Roubini and Bremmer on Charlie Rose: Unveiling New Abnormal

    After the Great Recession, commentators have espoused their idea of the “New Normal”—a post-growth era of stagnant developed economies. But is it so simple? Nouriel Roubini and Ian Bremmer appeared on Charlie Rose to discuss their take on what the new paradigm will be like. Roubini differentiated what he is calling the “New Abnormal”: “Our point [...]

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  • De-Risking Revisited

    Until the recent bout of financial-market turbulence, a variety of risky assets (including equities, government bonds, and commodities) had been rallying since last summer. But, while risk aversion and volatility were falling and asset prices were rising, economic growth remained sluggish throughout the world. Now the global economy’s chickens may be coming home to roost. [...]

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  • The Global Economy on the Fly

    In the last four weeks, I have traveled to Sofia, Kuala Lumpur, Dubai, London, Milan, Frankfurt, Berlin, Paris, Beijing, Tokyo, Istanbul, and throughout the United States. As a result, the myriad challenges facing the global economy were never far away.   In Europe, the tail risk of a eurozone break-up and a loss of market [...]

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  • Preparing for a Perfect Storm

    The global economy this year will exhibit some similarities with the conditions that prevailed in 2012. No surprise there: We face another year in which global growth will average about 3 percent, but with a multispeed recovery—a subpar, below-trend annual rate of 1 percent in the advanced economies, and close-to-trend rates of 5 percent in [...]

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  • Nouriel at Davos: Global Tail Risks Remain

    Speaking with CNN’s Poppy Harlow at Davos, RGE Chairman Nouriel Roubini reiterated the biggest outlying risks to the global economy: U.S. fiscal woes, the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, a potential China hard landing, and geopolitical risk in the Middle East. Nouriel argued that the worst scenario need to materialize for a meaningful impact on global [...]

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  • The Year Ahead in the Eurozone: Lower Risks, Same Problems

    Financial conditions in the eurozone have significantly improved since the summer, when eurozone risks peaked because of German policymakers’ open consideration of a Greek exit, and the sovereign spreads of Italy and Spain reached new heights. The day before European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s famous speech in London in which he announced that the [...]

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  • U.S. Has Been Let Down by Its Leadership

    The deal reached in Washington on New Year’s day prevented the US economy from falling off the so-called fiscal cliff. However, given the dysfunctional nature of the American political system, it won’t be long before there is another crisis. Two months, in fact. If no action is taken by March 1, $110bn of spending cuts will commence. [...]

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  • Nouriel on Bloomberg: U.S. Growth Will Be “Barely 1.7%” in 2013

    On Bloomberg Surveillance, Nouriel said that U.S. growth would barely register 1.7% in 2013 and pointed to a high risk of the U.S. going over the fiscal cliff: “If we do so, the market reaction is going to force the two sides to reach an agreement.” Asked whether he’s bullish on the U.S., Nouriel responded, ”In [...]

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  • Nouriel: Politics Will Define 2013

    Speaking with Christine Freeland of the New York Times, Nouriel Roubini described the shift from a market focus on risk in 2012 to a worldwide recognition that political action—European elections, partisan U.S. fiscal battles, Middle East unrest, Chinese and Japanese political transitions—will shape the economic and financial landscape in 2013, contingent on unconventional policy responses [...]

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Aaron Menenberg Policies of Scale

Aaron Menenberg is Foreign Policy and Energy analyst, and a Future Leader with Foreign Policy Initiative. He also co-hosts Podlitical Risk (@podliticalrisk). He is a graduate student in international relations at The Maxwell School of Syracuse University. Previously he has worked at Praescient Analytics, The Hudson Institute, for the Israeli Ministry of Defense, and at the IBM Corporation. The views expressed are his own, and you can follow him on Twitter @AaronMenenberg. He welcomes questions and comments at menenbergaaron@gmail.com.