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Shock Doctrine and the Debt Limit

Author: L. Randall Wray  ·   ·   › Share This Print

Naomi Klein’s book, Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism argued that crises are intentionally created to push the free market agenda. In the midst of a crisis, followers of Milton Friedman are able to destroy social protection and to install a virulent version of free market capitalism.

Some years ago I made a similar argument about President Bush’s “ownership society”, which used New Orleans in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina as a laboratory for right-wing experimentation. (http://www.levyinstitute.org/publications/?docid=14)  Jamie Galbraith’s great book, The Predator State, pushed the argument further, making the case that this was not really about “free markets” at all—it was a wholesale handing over of government to a class of predators. He claimed that only self-styled liberals are fooled by the free market rhetoric—everyone else knows it is about using big government to enrich the chosen few. As President Bush put it in a dinner speech in October 2000: “This is an impressive crowd – the haves and the have-mores. Some people call you the elites; I call you my base.”  There is no public purpose; big government exists to serve that base.

Further it is important to distinguish between de-regulation and self-regulation by again amending Klein’s argument. It was not just that we removed many of the New Deal constraints on what financial institutions were allowed to do, we also de-supervised them and replaced government oversight with self-regulation. Indeed, that was the key element contained in the Basle Accords adopted internationally. This gave a big boost to the ratings agencies, which supposedly assessed the riskiness of the assets banks held, which then determined capital requirements. Higher requirements on riskier assets was supposed to reduce risk in two ways: first by increasing the “cushion of safety” provided by extra capital since owners would take first loss, and second by encouraging banks to hold safer assets.

Actually, Basle increased risk in two ways: first because the ratings agencies would rate anything AAA (as safe as Treasuries) for a price, and second because banks could evade the capital requirements simply by moving trash off their balance sheets and into subsidiaries (for the wonky, those were the infamous SIVs and SPVs). We do not need to go into this in more detail except to stress that the working idea was that goliath financial institutions could supervise themselves, hence government regulations were not needed. I love to recall a prescient statement made by Robert Sherril, writing back during the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s: ”thievery is what unregulated capitalism is all about”. (For his update, see http://www.thenation.com/article/sls-big-banks-and-other-triumphs-capitalism?page=0,0) That is the perfect bookend to my colleague Bill Black’s quip (and book title): “the best way to rob a bank is to own one.” With no “adult supervision” by government, all the big financial institutions became control frauds run by bank thieves.

Returning to Bush’s ownership society, as I wrote in my 2005 piece, the biggest prize was going to be the privatization of Social Security. I won’t rehash the whole argument, but the dot-com crash and then the relative flat-lining of the stock market made it a difficult policy to sell. Besides, everyone was having so much fun with the housing boom, and Wall Street was making so much money that it put Social Security on the back-burner for a while. We were all becoming a nation of “owners”, after all. After four decades of nightmare, it looked like the American Dream was back. When the whole fantasy collapsed, it became clear who the real owners of America are—not the duped homeowners now underwater with mountains of debt and houses they cannot even give away. Rather it was the same “have-mores” on Wall Street who made out like bandits in the upswing (actually, not “like” bandits—they are bandits) who are cleaning the plate in the crisis.

Rahm Emanuel was famous for re-spinning Klein’s “shock doctrine” as the imperative that we “never waste a crisis”. We all thought he meant that President Obama, the Democrats, and progressives would work together to use the crisis to bring back regulation and to put together a new New Deal. We were wrong. We now know that the Obama administration and the Democrats joined forces with Republicans to use the crisis in the Kleinian/Galbraithian manner: as shock doctrine to benefit the predators. Unfortunately, as I have been arguing over at New Economic Perspectives, the Beltway progressives aided and abetted the neoconservatives. (http://neweconomicperspectives.blogspot.com/2011/07/pinch-hitting-for-peterson-part-1-how.html)

It should be no surprise to find that wealth is more concentrated now than it was before the crisis. It should be no surprise to find that Wall Street’s bonuses are approximately back to their boom levels. It should be no surprise to find that “recovery” has not reduced unemployment, that only 18,000 jobs were created in June, that workers have got only 1% of the growth of national income since recovery began. And it should be no surprise to find that no significant reforms of the financial system have been put in place, and that Congress will not fund even the weak regulations enacted in Dodd-Frank.

Now it would be too much to attribute the whole thing to a mass conspiracy—and we do not need to do that. As I argued in my last piece, individual self-interest created the debt-fueled real estate boom and then individual self-interest created the cover-up (the cover-up had to begin from the day the first Liar’s and Ninja loans were made). And I have already made the case that everyone saw “it” (the crisis) coming—the only questions were how to make a buck, how to get out before the crash, and how to stay out of jail.

So we do not need a conspiracy to make the argument that the individuals involved saw it coming, indeed, worked to ensure it would happen. After all, with their credit default swaps, they made more if the whole real estate sector went to hell in a handbasket. And they’d then end up with the foreclosed houses, too! So they made bucks in the boom and it didn’t really matter that they couldn’t get out before the bust. Besides, as I discussed, Uncle Sam stood ready to bail-out any predators who failed to catch their prey.

A “shocking” piece, Why No One on Wall Street Is Going to Jail, by Gretchen Morgenson and Louise Story (The New York Times 10 July 11), explains why the banksters have escaped prison. Back in 2008 the Justice Department decided that it would be easier and cheaper to let the big financial institutions (home to almost all the criminal activity) investigate and punish themselves, rather than having real cops do it. So, rather than going after criminals, “Government lawyers now go to companies earlier in an inquiry, and often tell companies to figure out whether improper activities occurred. Then those companies hire law firms to investigate and report back to the government.” If they do report criminal activity, but are willing to pay a token fine and promise to be good little boys and girls, no names are named and no one gets punished. So, just as we decided that they could self-supervise themselves to reduce risk, we also have decided they can self-flagellate wherever the self-supervision fails.

Gee, I bet this works like gangbusters and wonder why we have not extended the practice to gangs and petty criminals like bank robbers, drug-dealers, and  murderers. If a blood-sucking vampire squid like Goldman Sachs can police and punish itself, why can’t common criminals? Oh, I forgot. Only the true owners, the ownership class that resides north of the top 0.1 percent of the income distribution, can be trusted.

Back to the shock doctrine. Even if there was no massive conspiracy, the predator class sure knew how to follow Rahm Emanuel’s advice to avoid wasting the crisis. Not only did they use it to manufacture the biggest wealth redistribution in favour of the elite that the world has ever seen, they also used it to bust unions, to cut social spending by state and local governments that used to benefit the prey, and to throw 14 million out of work. There are now 4.6 officially unemployed workers for every opening. People are desperate for even minimum wage jobs—willing to drive an hour or more to get a crappy job just to put a bit of food “on their family” as W would put it. From the perspective of the predators, that is a good thing—so much cheaper to buy good domestic help now.

The only reason we have not already slipped into the first great depression of this new century is that the federal government’s safety net has not yet been entirely removed. A recent report estimates that one-fifth of last year’s personal income came from the federal government, a record. Most of the growth was due to countercyclical social spending on programs like unemployment benefits—thanks to extensions. However, the extended benefits will expire at the end of this year—when we will lose $37 billion of support to personal incomes. Ironically, the cuts will be targeted to those states that have been hardest hit by the crisis (where the duration of unemployment is the longest and job prospects are the worst).

The predator class views all of these developments as highly desirable. The more suffering visited on the bottom 90% of the population, the better. They will be far more compliant, far more willing to work hard for the few scraps of bread Bush’s “have-mores” want to toss in their direction.

Back in the days of Henry Ford, the more enlightened captains of industry knew that you need a middle class if you want to sell your output at a profit. But today’s predators do not care, for two reasons. First, most of them produce nothing; their income is based on highly leveraged trading. Essentially, their business is gambling—buying and selling credit default bets on failure. Yes, they also get paid for managing other people’s money—more on that below. But they do not produce anything and do not do anything that is useful. They can just as well bet on default of Greece as they can bet on default by US homeowners on “neutron” hybrid adjustable rate mortgages that “blow up”.

The second reason is that even if they actually produce something, they’ve gone global, in a way that they could not do in the 1930s. Remember that back then we’d just had a trade war, and further that the only portion of the globe that was growing a middle class was the USSR—an economy that was off limits. And then, of course, there were the Nazis—of whom at least some of our captains of industry were suspicious—who would soon become our enemies. So Ford knew he had to pay his workers enough so that they could buy his cars—US workers were the main market. Today, however, our predators look to China, India and Brazil as their consumers. (Personally, I think they are going to be massively disappointed—but that is a topic for another day.) In any case, today our predators have no interest in maintaining a middle class in the US.

But it is worse than that.

It is not just the predator class that holds that opinion. Unfortunately, both political parties have also decided there is no future for an American middle class. With 14 million unemployed and with a horrible jobs picture, is there anyone in Washington who could give a rat’s rear end about job creation? No. They are all too busy arguing about debt limits, infinite horizon unfunded “entitlements” and the prospects for a national bankruptcy. In truth, the only national bankruptcy we’ve got is our political system, which has not only lost touch with the population but has quite simply lost touch with reality.

Outside Washington nobody is fooled. The debt limit debate is just part of the shock doctrine. The global financial collapse destroyed tax revenue at all levels of government. State and local governments really do need to cut spending—they cannot run deficits (California is like Greece). Only the sovereign federal government can deficit spend. But as the deficit grew, this helped fuel the hysteria long promoted by deficit hyperventilators like hedge fund billionaire Pete Peterson. Finally, the crisis opened the opportunity for shock doctrine—the deficit would be used as a pretext for budget cuts.

President Obama has joined forces with Republicans who want to use the debt limit to remove the last vestiges of FDR’s New Deal. I won’t repeat the full analysis over at NEP, but it takes a Democratic president to destroy the New Deal. President Clinton oversaw the complete dismantling of the financial system regulations that had prevented another Great Crash like the one in 1929. The last of the Rooseveltian-inspired programs are Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. It is up to Obama to kill those.

The clarion call coming out of Washington is that we can no longer afford these “entitlements”; as Obama has been saying since he first came to office, Uncle Sam is “broke”. Republicans have enabled him to offer up the “third rail” of American politics—Social Security—as the treasured bargaining chip.

Originally, Republicans just wanted the Democrats to gut some program that would later cost them in the 2012 elections. They never dreamed they’d be able to destroy Social Security. Little did they know that Obama would follow Emanuel’s advice to “never waste a crisis”—he wanted to please his predator friends, since he needs a billion dollars to conduct his next campaign.

The debt limit debate offered the perfect circumstance. With all the hysterical and foreboding talk about “unfunded entitlements”, “unsustainable debt” and “looming fiscal crisis”, Obama found cover in the debt limit debate.

In short, it is all a political theater of the absurd. Meanwhile, our economy is crashing, heading at train wreck speed toward another great depression.

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papau • July 13th, 2011 at 10:30 pm

Often we disagree as to asserted "facts" or analysis, but not this time. Spot on analysis.

During the primaries I was mocked by those friends with entry to the Board Rooms for my support of Hillary, with there telling me that most had decided on Obama as he was more controllable as to their demands. I thought they would lose – and I was wrong. I never thought the left would forsake policy analysis so as to give themselves points for electing a dark skinned president.

Hillary had moved from her 70's leftest position to her in the 90's being the only person in the room supporting Medicare for all to her 2008 position of public option as a start – but that was so far to the left of Obama's 1996 to 2008 record I thought the base would never go for him.

As a community organizer in 96 he was telling the poor to stop asking the government for anything and to rather learn to live a better life as a poor person. Not a great progressive liberal message, but one documented in the Chicago papers of that time. Now I see no way to remove him as the Democratic alternative to the GOP – indeed the GOP seems to the left of Obama on s few issues – and that is nuts.

Philip Pilkington • July 15th, 2011 at 3:02 am

"And I have already made the case that everyone saw “it” (the crisis) coming—the only questions were how to make a buck, how to get out before the crash, and how to stay out of jail."

You know I've been thinking about this recently and I've come a conclusion. Folks can bluster and posture over government debt, but the real truth is that they've been selling their kids down the line economically for years.

NOT by incurring government debt (chicken and egg… please — and anyway, government debt is a ghost), but by selling the reigns of power on government. They've lowered living standards; they've made it more difficult to get jobs and they've screwed up the benefits system — not just in the US, but everywhere.

Selfish 60s hippies… that's the conspiracy. Those Hendrix fans that coddled up to Reagan's 'individualist' ethos. It's so repulsive its not even funny.

Thank God we have those like Wray who didn't buy it. Those people are rotten. Walking mummies. As one commentator put it: "The social ladder was handed to them and they pulled it right back up once they climbed it".

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the villagers in 2010 October when Zhao Xinan village leader for people to do many good deedsThe South has more than 100 acres of slope due to the absence of roads the villagers from generation to generation are back and pick the cropsZhao Xinan took office in November last year completed about 5 meters wide several kilometers long production way even the agricultural vehicle also can open up the village will not have to worry about to harvest the grainIn addition “have the Spring Festival period he also frequently appear personally harmonious village disputes and paying their sympathy in group households”Village branch secretary Lin Province Ann said “he is a qualified cadre I know him very well he is a good manThe road fund and labor Haruki did not participate in all Zhao Xinan with fixed”"It was really fighting broke out”Yesterday Lantian County police chief Nie Xianfeng introduces to the reporter after the incident is Zhao x x home to call the police depressed heart he drunk because of household chores and wife quarrel,Other area milkman Master Wu said,harmonious family two average per capita hold company database software technology secret. in the domestic ski resorts, Ding will buy moon cake for everyone.Wang Song of reporter of Xinhua news agency Xinhua Harbin special telegram ( March 26th, she saw in school is written on a “senior signature technician,Disappeared: the borrowed money will sneak out actually,hollister outlet, and the account is still the grandpa’s Fengcheng road.The newspaper news (reporter Xu Lantao) Lee and colleagues down a dinnerand leave a telephonehard road ,Yesterday,finally diagnosed as acute septicemia father and son had each other,according to the Chongqing Municipal Personnel Bureau about Chongqing of print and distribute public institutions to recruit staff to carry out the announcement of method and Kaixian Personnel Bureau announced the Kaixian 2009 first half of the year theopen recruitment of staff and institutions 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Shaxiaoniehuai Xiao Niehuaixiaonie praise spider Xiao Nie slugs stasis Xiao the ankle Xiao, Nie Nie ankle Xiao Nie Huaixiaofounie Wei ∴ Xiaoniehuaixiao Zhiniehuaixiao Niehuaixiaonie ankle Xiao Niehuaixiaonie ankle Xiao Niehuaixiaonie ankle Xiao Nie Keyanxiaoying Niehuaixiaodun Nie ankle Xiao Jie Niehuaixiaonie Huaixiaozuannie Huaixiaoniehuai Xiao  Niehuaixiaonie 相关的主题文章： Զջ Ѿдģ ֤ д ΥʥдΥġ “The secret of health is the stocking”. 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zerohedge zerohedge
George Bravo go smash stuff now.
1 minute ago
zerohedge zerohedge
George Bravo angry FB go down not up.
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zerohedge zerohedge
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zerohedge zerohedge
Every UMich survey respondent is short the EURUSD
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zerohedge zerohedge
Reminder: Gooder is worser
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zerohedge zerohedge
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zerohedge zerohedge
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dealbreaker dealbreaker
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My thoughts on why "getting in the game" is so important. RT @ReformedBroker: Compound Experience, Not Just Interest http://t.co/0ZxqGawR $$
21 minutes ago
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Paul Kedrosky pkedrosky
@tomkeene Thanks again Tom. And thanks for the kind words on my efforts last week. As you know, you bring out the best in everyone.
27 minutes ago
zerohedge zerohedge
As a reminder, confidence has to be horrible for stocks to soar
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L'État, c'est moi.
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Daniel Gross grossdm
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