The Trump Trade Doctrine and Bilateral Trade Balances

The Trump Trade Doctrine and Bilateral Trade Balances

photo: Gage Skidmore Trump Trade Doctrine Donald Trump campaigned against bad trade deals, and he promised to negotiate “better deals”. The exact meaning of a better trade deal for America was revealed in a document, “Scoring the Trump Economic Plan”, written by advisors Peter Navarro and Wilbur Ross. Navarro will head the new White House National […]

Getting Smart at the Sandpit

Getting Smart at the Sandpit

The large Mexican city of Guadalajara is a thriving commercial center and home to 1.5 million people. But nearly 24,000 homes in Guadalajara have only a dirt floor and lack access to indoor plumbing and sanitation services. To tackle the challenge of people living without access to basic services in a large metropolitan area, 25 […]

Why Is Gazprom’s Output on the Decline?

Why Is Gazprom’s Output on the Decline?

photo: Ricardo Cabral The monopoly is forced to adjust supplies against falling demand on the Russian and European markets. In the past year, Gazprom has set a new anti-record for gas production. Based on the results for the past 12 months, its production volume is set to 409.4 billion cubic metres in the wake of the […]

Trump Tariffs Threaten to Undermine World Trade in 2017

Trump Tariffs Threaten to Undermine World Trade in 2017

Photo: Dirk Dallas As world trade and investment have plateaued, globalization has ground to a halt. The timing could not be worse for the Trump tariffs. In the recent Central Economic Work Conference, stability became the common denominator for China’s economic planning in 2017. And next year, the new central committee will is likely to speed […]

The Year Ahead: Where to Invest in 2017

The Year Ahead: Where to Invest in 2017

Source  Key takeaway – Across the globe, populism and protectionism are on the rise and macro fundamentals remain weak. In this challenging context, growth will remain subdued in 2017, hampered by sluggish investment and productivity, ever-accumulating savings and modest inflation. With the exception of the Unites States (US), developed markets (DMs) will stagnate, burdened by […]

The 2016 Globie: “Global Inequality”

The 2016 Globie: “Global Inequality”

photo: Source Each year I name a book as the “Globalization Book of the Year” (also known as the “Globie”). The selection is a recognition of its author’s contribution to our understanding of the causes and effects of globalization. There is no money attached to the prize—recognition is the sole reward. Recent winners can be […]

Has the Embargo Damaged Farmers in Europe?

Has the Embargo Damaged Farmers in Europe?

photo: Wayne Stadler EU food products exporters have not been affected as much from the counter-sanctions as Russian consumers. In November, at an ‘Action Forum’ of the All-Russia People’s Front, Vladimir Putin promised not to reverse the food embargo for as long as possible. Russia had been forced to restrict the import of farm produce in […]

The Development Mutants Are Coming … and We Care

The Development Mutants Are Coming … and We Care

Mutants are organisms that mutate due to a change in their composition or structure. In the development industry, we are starting to recognize mutants that slowly, but inexorably, are beginning to compete in the space historically reserved for international financial institutions. How can we understand these changes? And how can we use these mutants to […]

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