Overcoming the Second Steel Crisis

Overcoming the Second Steel Crisis

  photo: David Clow Today, advanced economies blame China for steel overcapacity. In reality, four decades ago Washington and Brussels opted for bad policies, which China seeks to transcend. In the G20 summit in Hangzhou, some world leaders had harsh words for China’s steel overcapacity. Before the summit, President Barack Obama was urged by US lawmakers, […]

G20: Overcoming Protectionism, Emerging Growth

G20: Overcoming Protectionism, Emerging Growth

  In Hangzhou, China began the push for G20 to overcome protectionism and fuel global growth prospects. That is vital to reverse stagnation in advanced economies and slowdown in emerging nations. On September 4-5, the leaders of the G20 economies met in Hangzhou. The summit had great symbolic importance that was easily understood in emerging […]

The Duterte Whirlwind: The Reawakening of the Philippines

The Duterte Whirlwind: The Reawakening of the Philippines

photo: canencia The new Philippine president is waging a tough drug war, pushing economic growth domestically and greater pragmatism in foreign policy that could contribute to Southeast Asia’s future. Internationally, Rodrigo Duterte, the new president of the Philippines, has been portrayed as a “dangerous populist”. That’s a gross caricature. In the elections, he leaned on the […]

What If Clinton Wins

What If Clinton Wins

photo: Getty Images According to polls, the race to the White House is over. Clinton has won, Trump has lost. If that proves the case, US economic erosion will slow but imperial foreign policy may escalate, which has critical repercussions in Asia. The polls reflect the new status quo. Despite her high unfavorability ratings, Clinton […]

Italy at the Brink: From Renzi’s Referendum to Italexit?

Italy at the Brink: From Renzi’s Referendum to Italexit?

photo: Davide Oliva Europe’s Summer of Discontent                                In the aftermath of the Brexit tensions, Italy is defying Brussels to bail out troubled banks and preparing for constitutional referendum in October. If Prime Minister Matteo Renzi fails to achieve adequate support, economic destabilization will shift from the UK to Italy – which could […]

Monetary Exhaustion Means Rising Gold Prices

Monetary Exhaustion Means Rising Gold Prices

As non-traditional monetary policies in advanced economies are likely to eclipse, investors will increasingly turn to gold to hedge their portfolios. Around mid-April, when the price of gold was still about $1,290, I made a contrarian projection that gold had a bright, though bumpy future. Since then, gold price has climbed to $1,365 – which […]

Chinese Growth Staying Close to Target, Despite Bleak Global Prospects

Chinese Growth Staying Close to Target, Despite Bleak Global Prospects

  photo: Thomas Depenbusch Assuming no surprises in the second half of the year, China’s growth in 2016 will remain near the target of 6.5 percent reflecting structural transition in the mainland, secular stagnation in the West and post-Brexit tensions globally. In mid-July, China’s second-quarter GDP figures beat estimates with a 6.7 percent expansion, thanks to […]

Time for Bold Economic Moves and Tough Security in Nigeria

Time for Bold Economic Moves and Tough Security in Nigeria

  photo: Global Panorama As Nigeria’s economy is contracting, domestic and global headwinds ensure that downside risks will escalate. Without aggressive economic moves and harsh security measures, the economy could face a disastrous free fall. In 2015, government deficit soared to almost 4 percent of GDP and exports fell 40 percent, which led to a current […]

China’s Devastating Floods: From Adaptation to Mitigation

China’s Devastating Floods: From Adaptation to Mitigation

photo: LanguageTeaching After weeks of torrential rain across central and southern China, the mainland has suffered from a series of devastating floods. As the total price tag has soared, the impact will be felt in economic growth. By mid-July, almost 240 people had lost their lives and nearly 100 were missing, as China’s floods had been […]

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