Applied international economist with experience at the U.S. Treasury and the International Monetary Fund. Currently examining central bank reserve growth, sovereign wealth funds, and the political implications of emerging market financing of the United States.
Experience:
Senior economist, RGEMonitor (2004 - 2007); International Affairs Fellow, Council on Foreign Relations (2003); visiting scholar, International Monetary Fund (2002, 2004); U.S. Treasury, International Affairs (1997 - 2001), last serving as the acting director of the office for international monetary and financial policy.
Recent Blog Posts by Brad Setser
- SAFE, State Capitalist?
- The Savings Glut. Controversy Guaranteed.
- The good and bad news in the World Bank’s China Quarterly
- I am pretty sure China didn’t sell Treasuries in April (or May, for that matter)
- The return of Bretton Woods Two? (or Bretton Woods 2.1?)
- Change or more of the same?
- The (almost) $2.5 trillionaire …
- Different conceptions of China’s future role in the global financial system
- China’s Compensation for Taking Dollar Risk…
- Additional confirmation China bought US equities from mid-2007 to mid-2008
- Chinese demand v new Treasury supply: new charts
- It is hard to put lipstick on a pig (or even an ox)
- Is complaining about others’ protectionism protectionist?
- Still plenty to worry about …
- Asia’s two recessions
- Secrets of SAFE: A trillion of Treasuries here, a trillion there and pretty soon you are talking about real money …
- Read Dean, Areddy and Ng on the management of China’s reserves during the crisis
- There is currently a shortfall in Chinese demand for the world’s goods, not Chinese demand for the world’s bonds
- Worry about a fall in China’s demand for the world’s goods, not a fall in China’s demand for Treasuries
- A few quick words on the November TIC data
- Secrets of SAFE: A sharp slowdown in reserve growth and large “hot” outflows in q4….
- China hasn’t (yet) lost its appetite for US Treasuries …
- More bad trade data from Asia
- The China Not-Investing Corporation
- As trade slows, China doesn’t rethink its growth strategy …
- Seems right to me: China has lost its appetite for risky assets
- Chieuropa?
- Global trade is shrinking, fast
- China is starting to sound like a normal creditor country
- Should the currency of the country with a large and growing trade surplus and large and growing reserves depreciate against the dollar?
- You know it is a crisis when the trade deficit could have been financed just by selling t-bills to China and European banks
- China’s fiscal stimulus doesn’t necessarily mean that it will stop buying Treasuries
- Does a bigger boom imply a bigger bust?
- How severe a slump in China?
- Will the world’s macroeconomic imbalances soon reduce to China’s surplus and offsetting deficits in the US and Europe?
- China buys, Norway sells
- Interesting
- Forget about the CIC. The state banks are the real story for now
- What export slowdown?
- Nouriel Roubini gets a medal …
- Value-added in China’s export sector and China’s exposure to a global slump
- Old habits die hard …
- Reversal of fortune
- How fast will China’s economy slow? And will China also slow the pace of RMB appreciation?
- Just how much money does China have? How fast are China’s foreign assets growing? And how much is hot money?
- The May TIC data (with special attention to Agencies and London)
- A bit more on the Agency portfolios of the world’s central banks
- The mystery deepens. China’s June reserve growth is surprisingly low.
- China’s June exports: still chugging along, despite all the talk to the contrary
- Maybe China is a typical creditor after all
- A tale of two Asias: China, and almost everyone else
- The London Times’ take on Chinese equity investment abroad
- Yet more evidence relative prices matter
- Maybe the CIC isn’t motivated entirely by commercial gain …
- Is Chinese export growth accelerating once again?
- Should SAFE be considered a SWF?















