EconoMonitor

Spain’s Investment-Grade Status, France’s AAA at Risk as Crisis Escalates

Click to enlarge:

Source: Bloomberg BRIEF April 26, 2012

Bloomberg BRIEF had a great chart and explanation regarding national credit ratings:

“According to CDS-implied credit ratings, renewed escalation of the European debt crisis may place Spain’s investment-grade status at risk, while France may face a downgrade to A- on S&P’s rating scale.

The composite credit rating is calculated by quantifying the three primary agencies’ ratings, where available, and averaging the results for each country. A score of one indicates the highest rating across all three companies. A score of 10 or better indicates investment grade.

The cost of five-year CDS is the amount traders are willing to pay to protect against a default on the country’s underlying debt. The cost of protecting against a Spanish default through five-year CDS has risen to about 470 basis points, which is more than 200 basis points higher than similar protection on Turkish sovereign debt which holds a non-investment grade composite rating of 11.7. Spain’s composite rating is 6.3, equivalent to A on the S&P scale. France may risk the largest nominal downgrade of the countries surveyed, with its CDS price implying a potential downgrade to 6.8, or A-, from its present composite rating of 1.3, or AAA. This would still fall within the investment grade range.

TBP Readers who want a free trial to Bloomberg Brief can subscribe here.

This post originally appeared at The Big Picture and is posted with permission.

Comments are closed.

Most Read | Featured | Popular

Blogger Spotlight

Ed Dolan Ed Dolan's Econ Blog

Edwin G. Dolan is an economist and educator with a Ph.D. from Yale University. Early in his career, he was a member of the economics faculty at Dartmouth College, the University of Chicago, and George Mason University. From 1990 to 2001, he taught in Moscow, Russia, where he and his wife founded the American Institute of Business and Economics (AIBEc), an independent, not-for-profit MBA program. Since 2001, he has taught at several universities in Europe, including Central European University in Budapest, the University of Economics in Prague, and the Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, where he has an ongoing annual visiting appointment. During breaks in his teaching career, he worked in Washington, D.C. as an economist for the Antitrust Division of the Department of Justice and as a regulatory analyst for the Interstate Commerce Commission, and later served a stint in Almaty as an adviser to the National Bank of Kazakhstan. When not lecturing abroad, he makes his home in San Juan Islands, Washington.

Economics Blog Aggregator

Our favorite economics blogs aggregated.