EconoMonitor

UK – Unanimity at the Bank

Following Mervyn King’s downbeat overnight speech here, the Bank’s October minutes were also downbeat, with a unanimous 9-0 vote in favour of £75 billion of additional quantititaive easing. Though this was in line with market expectations ahead of the publication of the minutes, it was a long way from what most analysts expected ahead of the vote two weeks ago.

There are some oddities in the minutes. In paragraph 16 they refer to consumer confidence being at its weakest since March 2009 and expectations about household finances being lower than at any time since November 1992. Then in the next paragraph they talk about the slowdown being driven by external factors.

The overall message, however, is clear: “While the stimulatory monetary stance and present level of sterling should help to support demand, the weaker outlook for, and the increased downside risks to, output growth meant that the margin of slack in the economy would probably be greater and more persistent than previously thought. This made it more likely that inflation would undershoot the 2% target in the medium term, without further monetary stimulus.”

I think this is growth targeting, dressed up as an inflation and spare capacity argument. Judge for yourself in the minutes, here.

This post originally appeared at David Smith’s EconomicsUK and is reproduced with permission.

7 Responses to “UK – Unanimity at the Bank”

revolutionOctober 27th, 2011 at 1:09 pm

Terrific post however I was wondering if you could write a litte more on this subject? I’d be very thankful if you could elaborate a little bit more. Appreciate it!

suchengOctober 30th, 2011 at 11:26 am

Excellent website you have here but I was curious if you knew of any discussion boards that cover the same topics talked about here? I’d really love to be a part of online community where I can get feedback from other knowledgeable individuals that share the same interest. If you have any recommendations, please let me know. Many thanks!

myp2p europa leagueNovember 2nd, 2011 at 4:06 am

this is a very compelling post, as a consequence of you for the benefit of the information. Contrite my english is not the uncommonly best. do you know if it is possible to turn this to the spanish language. that would be sheer helpfull.

Most Read | Featured | Popular

Blogger Spotlight

Ed Dolan Ed Dolan's Econ Blog

Edwin G. Dolan is an economist and educator with a Ph.D. from Yale University. Early in his career, he was a member of the economics faculty at Dartmouth College, the University of Chicago, and George Mason University. From 1990 to 2001, he taught in Moscow, Russia, where he and his wife founded the American Institute of Business and Economics (AIBEc), an independent, not-for-profit MBA program. Since 2001, he has taught at several universities in Europe, including Central European University in Budapest, the University of Economics in Prague, and the Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, where he has an ongoing annual visiting appointment. During breaks in his teaching career, he worked in Washington, D.C. as an economist for the Antitrust Division of the Department of Justice and as a regulatory analyst for the Interstate Commerce Commission, and later served a stint in Almaty as an adviser to the National Bank of Kazakhstan. When not lecturing abroad, he makes his home in San Juan Islands, Washington.

Economics Blog Aggregator

Our favorite economics blogs aggregated.