We really need a model with five moving pieces:
-
Money demand equilibrium M = L(i, PY) as a function of the level of spending and the short-term safe nominal interest rate.
-
Flow-of-funds S = I + (G-T) as a function of the level of spending and the long-term risky real interest rate.
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Expected inflation to get you from the nominal to the real interest rate.
-
A term premium as a function of expectations to get you from the short-term to the long-term real interest rate.
-
Risk spreads to get you from the safe to the risky real interest rate.
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