EconoMonitor

The End of the Bernanke Put?

Go figure:

The US central bank discusses a slowing economy, and makes it plain to speculators that they are on their own, that there will no imminent rescue, no bail out, perhaps even the end of the Bernanke Put.

Markets throw a two day, 5% hissy fit.

The question surrounding this whackage that traders should be asking themselves is simple: Is this the beginning of a deeper sell off, or is this the end of a correction that began in the spring and has taken US markets down nearly 20%?

The parallels between 2010 and 2011 are obvious: Coming off a big Fed-induced equity rally, the slowing economy begins to make investors wonder about an earnings peak and potential reversal. A market sell-off of almost 20% gets the Fed chairman’s attention.

In 2010, a Jackson Hole speech leads to a broad based liquidity program, aka QE2. Its rocket fuel, and gets blamed for the next leg up of the equity rally, the gold rally, food inflation, and even the Arab Spring.

The difference, of course, is that there is no QE3.

Global equities plummet 5%; Copper gets shellacked, Gold and especially silver see sellers. Bernanke gets criticized, but so was Volcker (unjustly) lambasted, as was Greenspan (deservedly so).

The question all of this raises in my mind is this: Has Bernanke recognized the moral hazard of the Fed guarantee to traders formerly-known-as-the-Greenspan Put?

Asked differently, is the Bernanke Put now dead . . . ?

This post originally appeared at The Big Picture and is reproduced with permission.

12 Responses to “The End of the Bernanke Put?”

How To Buy YouTube ViewsSeptember 30th, 2011 at 12:42 am

The technology is nice and I use it all the time, but we have become to relient on it. With a GPS why learn to read a map? The navy releys on GPS why learn to use a sextant. The Chinese have the ability to shoot down a satelite, GPS gone. We should learn the old way just in case.

Deeanna RandaSeptember 30th, 2011 at 2:23 am

Freddy Sanchez (the Barbi Doll of infielders) twisted his knee taking 4 steps to his right to retrieve Aaron Rowand’s sloppy throw back to the infield shortly after Mark Reynolds hit a 1st inning, 2-run jack off yet another Barry Zito bp fastball or hanging curve. (Hard to tell, they both look the same from the cf camera).

e30 black grillsOctober 4th, 2011 at 4:09 am

Were America’s first leader in home insurance. At Unbeatable Home Insurance Agency homeowners insurance quotes is our specialty! We present many A rated insurance companies that focus solely on homeowners insurance! Our professional agents will use their outstanding knowledge to shop and compare amongst our exclusive companies to ensure the most unbeatable deals! Our knowledge is your power!

weddingOctober 5th, 2011 at 9:46 pm

Good web site! I truly love how it is easy on my eyes and the data are well written. I am wondering how I could be notified whenever a new post has been made. I have subscribed to your RSS which must do the trick! Have a great day!

Most Read | Featured | Popular

Blogger Spotlight

Edward Hugh Don't Shoot the Messenger

Edward is a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows. Edward is based in Barcelona, and is currently engaged in research on aging, longevity, fertility and migration, and the impact of all of these on economic growth.

Economics Blog Aggregator

Our favorite economics blogs aggregated.