EconoMonitor

More Favorable Developments

Last week’s new economic data began with a personal income and outlays report which suggested slower consumption growth. But the numbers released Friday are a little more encouraging.

First there was the March employment report, which showed an average employment increase for the first quarter of 160,000 jobs per month according to the establishment survey and 219,000 per month according to the household survey. It would take many years of that kind of growth to get back to a labor market that anyone would describe as healthy. But at least at that pace we are finally making some actual progress. Menzie has more.

A stronger positive signal was provided by the March ISM manufacturing report, whose 61.2 reading reflects managers’ reports that new orders, production and employment were better in March than in February.

image001_512_101.jpg
Source: Calculated Risk

Auto sales also continued to climb, up 17% from March 2010 and up 45% from March 2009.

image002_151.gif
Data source: Wardsauto.com

One worry is that gasoline prices are now about the level we saw at the end of April 2008. Interestingly, March 2011 light vehicle sales are also about the same levels as in April 2008. The big difference is, in April of 2008 we were describing those levels as a 14% drop from April of 2006. Now the car manufacturers count themselves lucky to be doing even that well.

Click for Interactive Chart

hamilton_4411_512.jpg 


Originally published at Econbrowser and reproduced here with permission.

Comments are closed.

Most Read | Featured | Popular

Blogger Spotlight

Edward Hugh Don't Shoot the Messenger

Edward is a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows. Edward is based in Barcelona, and is currently engaged in research on aging, longevity, fertility and migration, and the impact of all of these on economic growth. He is currently working on a book "Population, The Ultimate Non-renewable Resource?" He is a regular contributor to a number of economics weblogs, including India Economy Blog, A Fistful of Euros, Global Economy Matters and Demography Matters. He was, in fact, a founding member of all these weblogs. Edward follows in detail the Indian, Italian, Spanish, German and Japanese economies. He has a more than a passing interest in the economies of Turkey and Brazil and in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe.

Economics Blog Aggregator

Our favorite economics blogs aggregated.