Yet Another Greenspan Housing Bottom Call

“We are finally beginning to see the seeds of a bottoming [in the housing industry. The U.S. is] at the edge of a major liquidation [in the stock of unsold properties, which may help to stabilize prices]. —Alan Greenspan, May 12 2009

“I don’t know, but I think the worst of this may well be over.” —Alan Greenspan, October 2006

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Why does the public — and the Press — constantly seek out reassurances from the same people who misled them time and again in the past?

That was the question on my mind as I pondered yet another declaration from Alan Greenspan that the Housing Market has bottomed. That he has consistently made similar such statements before is cause for doubting him here. That these prior bottom calls were as far back as 2006 is cause for ridicule.

Few people have been worse than Greenspan in analyzing the Housing market. In fact, the only person / group I can think of with a consistently worse track record than Greenspan’s of analyzing the housing market was the group he spun his foolishness to yesterday: The National Association of Realtors.

Indeed, consider this golden oldie from David Lereah, the NAR’s chief economist, circa December 2005:

Home sales are coming down from the mountain peak, but they will level out at a high plateau, a plateau that is higher than previous peaks in the housing cycle.

That 2005 declaration, made 5 months after Hosuign prices had topped out, was typical of the reality denial we saw from the NAR over the entire housing cycle. They continuously got it wrong, spinning all data, good or bad, in a shamelessly self-promotional manner.

That this group of blind flacks paid Greenspan $100,000 plus to spin them lies is somewhere between ironic and pathetic. At least it wasn’t taxpayer monies . . .


Originally published at The Big Picture blog and reproduced here with the author’s permission.

One Response to "Yet Another Greenspan Housing Bottom Call"

  1. Steve   May 15, 2009 at 10:20 pm

    I remember that high plateau statement. It was the statement that led me to believe if I don’t go out and find something now I’ll never get the chance.2006 I bought.Here we are 2009. a cash loss invested over $100,000. No job. And a kindly reward of $1,500. to walk away peacefully.Predatory lenders. Sunt(latin) all of them and the horse they rode in on.