EconoMonitor

RGE Analysts

Poised for a Correction

Over the past couple of weeks equity markets have stood up against the gods, shrugging the heightened EZ crisis and continued disappointments in global macro prints. The market seems poised for disappointment in our view as the recent price actions seem to have more than reflected our views on the latest global easing cycle. As we’ve recommended in our recent cross asset monthly this rally should be used as an opportunity to sell. The market’s latest optimism defies our expectations and the correction might be sooner and more severe than we previously thought.    QE or not, it’s going down.

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Edwin G. Dolan is an economist and educator with a Ph.D. from Yale University. Early in his career, he was a member of the economics faculty at Dartmouth College, the University of Chicago, and George Mason University. From 1990 to 2001, he taught in Moscow, Russia, where he and his wife founded the American Institute of Business and Economics (AIBEc), an independent, not-for-profit MBA program. Since 2001, he has taught at several universities in Europe, including Central European University in Budapest, the University of Economics in Prague, and the Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, where he has an ongoing annual visiting appointment. During breaks in his teaching career, he worked in Washington, D.C. as an economist for the Antitrust Division of the Department of Justice and as a regulatory analyst for the Interstate Commerce Commission, and later served a stint in Almaty as an adviser to the National Bank of Kazakhstan. When not lecturing abroad, he makes his home in San Juan Islands, Washington.

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