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  • naked capitalism

    Why the Gulf of Tonkin and the Vietnam War Matter 50 Years Later (1/2)

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  • naked capitalism

    Climate Tipping Requires Precautionary Accumulation of Capital and an Additional Price for Carbon Emissions

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    Risk attitudes are context-specific

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  • naked capitalism

    Links 8/1/14

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    Why developing host countries sign increasingly strict investment agreements

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    Se Cottarelli lascia

    Nel marzo 2014, Carlo  Cottarelli, commissario alla revisione della spesa nominato dal Governo Letta, annunciava un piano dettagliato di possibili tagli alla spesa pubblica. Questo piano prevedeva un preciso "crono-programma" che avrebbe dovuto produrre a settembre 2014 la presentazione di un insieme di misure per il prossimo triennio, durante il quale i risparmi avrebbero raggiunto circa 34 miliardi.Di questo piano oggi non si vede ombra. E la pure modesta cifra di 34 miliardi di tagli (meno di mezzo punto del totale della spesa della pubblica amministrazione) appare ora  come un miraggio, politicamente irraggiungibile. Addirittura, come rilevato dal Commissario nel suo blog , il governo nel recente decreto legge sulla pubblica amministrazione, ha impiegato&n...more

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    Dealing with the threat of climate catastrophe

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  • The Irish Economy

    Inequality in the Irish Context

    John FitzGerald’s ESRI piece has added to the debate on income inequality in the Irish context, with some reaction from TASC’s Cormac Staunton, the Irish Times’ Chris Johns, and some other guy giving the flavour of the exchanges from right and left. Edit: I think David’s forthcoming ESR piece (.pdf) is a real contribution to the debate and should be noted up here, too.   ...more

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  • The Irish Economy

    Inversion: UK versus Ireland

    This WSJ article explains why UK can be more attractive than Ireland as an inversion location.

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  • The Irish Economy

    Record-Low Bond Yields

    Bond yields continue to decline for now -  FT update here.    

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    The black hole's still huge - but Osborne's slowly filling it

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    Back to the peak

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    An independent Scotland risks a Greek tragedy

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    Spain and the IMF: Round the Bend or Out of the Woods?

    “Spain has turned the corner”. With this stark statement the IMF opened it’s annual Article IV consultation report for 2014. Naturally the statement rankled, with this author among others, because at first sight it seems to be saying something which on closer reading of the report you find it isn’t. At best it’s misleading, possibly from a PR point of view intentionally so, but then Article IV reports are supposed to be more sober, measured assessments. One Spanish journalist summed up the surprise many felt in the following tweet. Dear IMF, You can’t say “Spain has turned the corner” and “the unemployment remains unacceptably high” in the same paper It’s silly Yours, C  What I suppose the authors...more

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    Il Debito in poche parole

    Intervista lampo sul debitoTweets by @pmanasse !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+"://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document,"script","twitter-wjs"); ...more

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    Il VIdeo del Debito

    Alcuni estratti video (Reichlin, Tabellini ed io) del dibattito sul debito del 26 giugno presso la Fondazione del Corriere (qui le slide della presentazione )Tweets by @pmanasse !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+"://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document,"script","twitter-wjs"); ...more

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    Multipliers and adding up

    Bank for International Settlements 84th Annual Report, page 11 – Second, as growing evidence suggests, balance sheet recessions are less responsive to traditional demand management measures (Chapter V). One reason is that banks need to repair their balance sheets. As long as asset quality is poor and capital meagre, banks will tend to restrict overall credit supply and, more importantly, misallocate it. As they lick their wounds, they will naturally retrench. But they will keep on lending to derelict borrowers (to avoid recognising losses) while cutting back on credit or making it dearer for those in better shape. A second, even more important, reason is that overly indebted agents will wish to pay down debt and save more. Give them an additional unit of i...more

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    Japan Inflation At A 32 Year High?

    Just in case anyone was in any doubt last weeks newspaper  headlines blared it out for us loud and clear – Japanese inflation is back, and has even hit levels last seen in 1982. (Click on image below for better viewing). In fact consumer prices in Japan rose at an annual rate of 3.4% in May according to the Bank of Japan’s preferred measure, driven higher from one month to another by the growing impact of the April sales tax hike. The May surge in inflation follows a previous jump to 3.2%  in April, up from 1.3% in March. Apart from the tax hike, the delayed impact of last years yen devaluation is still being felt: electricity charges rose 11.4% year on year in May, gasoline was up 9.6%, while fresh seafood prices climbed 14.3%. However, str...more

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Otaviano Canuto is Senior Advisor on BRICS Economies in the Development Economics Department, World Bank, a new position established by President Kim to bring a fresh research focus to this increasingly critical area. He also has an extensive academic background, serving as Professor of Economics at the University of Sao Paulo and University of Campinas (UNICAMP) in Brazil.

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