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  • naked capitalism

    Masaccio: Piketty Shreds Marginal Productivity as Neoclassical Justification for Supersized Pay

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  • naked capitalism

    Links 11/21/14

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  • naked capitalism

    Obama Pretends to Put Immigration Reform in Play

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    The Smith Commission on Scottish devolution: A survey of UK-based macroeconomists

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    The shared supplier effect: How foreign firms benefit domestic firms

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  • VoxEU.org: Recent Articles

    Benchmarking the AQR: A tale of two leverage ratios

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  • The Irish Economy

    2015 Annual Irish Economic Association Conference

    The 29th Annual Irish Economic Association Conference will be held at the Institute of Banking, IFSC, 1 North Wall Quay, Dublin 1 on Thursday May 7th and Friday May 8th, 2015. Edgar Morgenroth (Economic and Social Research Institute) is the local organizer. The ESR guest lecture will be given by Professor Christopher Udry (Yale University) and the Edgeworth Lecture by Professor Giancarlo Corsetti (University of Cambridge). The Association invites submissions of papers to be considered for the conference programme. Papers may be on any area in Economics, Finance and Econometrics. The deadline for submitted articles is the 8th of February 2015 and submissions can be made through this site. ...more

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    The EU Fiscal Framework: The Proof of the Pudding

    I have been invited to participate to a round table organized by Bruegel , the Brussels based think-tank, assessing the Fiscal framework in the Eurozone in the present crisis (the complete program is here). In brief, I made the following four points (slides are here).1) Since 2009 there was an unprecedented fiscal consolidation in the EUZ, where the average cyclically adjusted balance improved from -5.4 to -1.1of GDP in 5 years (red line in Fig 1).Yet the aggregate net debt position of the EUZ deteriorated sharply, with the average net debt ratio climbing from 40 to 60 percent of GDP (green line), the economy plunging in a double (possibly triple) dip recession (purple line), and inflation (blue) converging to zero.2) A country-by country disaggregated view makes the p...more

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  • The Irish Economy

    Central Bank event: Labour Markets over the Business Cycle

    The Central Bank is hosting a one-day conference on “Labour Markets over the Business Cycle” on 11 December in Dame Street (programme below). There is a limited number of places still available. If you wish to attend, please email ieaadmin@centralbank.ie by 9 December. Please note that places will be allocated strictly on a first-come-first-served basis. – Labour Market Adjustment over the Business Cycle A one-day conference at the Central Bank of Ireland 11 December 2014 Liffey room, Dame Street, Dublin 2 email ieaadmin@centralbank.ie to confirm attendance by 9 December     Programme   11 December       08:45 Registration and coffee 09:00 Opening remarks – “Prospects and Challenges for the Irish Labour Marke...more

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    Abenomics 2.0 – Just What Are They Trying To Achieve?

    The recent move by the Bank of Japan to take further measures to accelerate the rate at which it ramps up its balance sheet took almost everyone – market watchers included – completely by surprise. The consequence was reasonably predictable – the yen has once more fallen strongly against almost all major currencies – and most notably against the USD – and Japan’s main stock indexes are sharply up. On the other side of the balance sheet the cost of imported goods – and especially energy – is expected to rise, real wages are likely to continue to fall, and ex-tax inflation looks set to remain moderate, possibly around 1% – short of the 2% objective but comfortably away from deflation. Meantime this week’s GD...more

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    The Bank conjures up a sweet spot for Osborne

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  • The Irish Economy

    A Renewed Effort to Close Global Tax Loopholes Faces an Uphill Battle

    NY Times article with interesting graphics here.

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    Bank trims growth and inflation forecasts as wages pick up

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    I saw the wall Mr Gorbachev tore down.

    In October 1989, I was in Berlin for the first time. Small town boy, big city lights. We flew with Pan-Am back then. The airline also doesn’t exist anymore. I caught about the last possible glimpse at the wall in its concrete dividing brutality, looking eastward from the visitor platform at the Brandenburg gate. The next time I experienced a similar feeling was in 2008, on the UN premises in Panmunjom, South Korea, looking north. And in 2012, in the Banksy gift shop, right next to the wall in Bethlehem. West-Berlin was an oasis of calm before the storm. On October 18th, my mother, who hails from East Germany, my sister and I were having lunch at the famous Kaffee Kranzler on the Ku’Damm, at the time West Berlin’s main shopping street. I was facing a bi...more

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  • David Smith's EconomicsUK.com

    In many ways, business in Britain has never had it so good

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  • A Fistful Of Euros

    Wolf Biermann trolls the Bundestag

    So the German parliament invited legendary songwriter, dissident, and wonderful professional malcontent Wolf Biermann to the session celebrating 25 years since the revolution. That went as badly as you might expect, or perhaps as well. Where do we start here? Obviously there’s the bit where he calls the Left Party MPs the “wretched remnants of everything we so fortunately overcame”. There’s the speaker of parliament, the CDU’s Norbert Lammert, a man who looks and talks exactly like a conservative called Norbert, who calls him to order on the grounds that he was invited to sing, dammit, and if he wants to speak he can always get elected. Biermann remarks that the DDR didn’t manage to shut him up and Lammert won’t. While this goe...more

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    Legge di Stabilità: il Mistero dei 18 Miliardi

    Non sono riuscito a trovare la bozza della legge di stabilità in discussione, ma da quanto riportato dalla stampa (le famose slides del primo ministro)  ad esempio dal Sole 24, emerge un quadro diverso da quello che compare nei titoli (meno 18 miliardi di imposte, tagli di spesa per 15 miliardi).La riduzione di imposte sarebbe di 11,7 miliardi, non di 18, perchè le minori entrate dalle imposte sul reddito (80 euro), gli sgravi su IRAP e su contributi sociali per le assunzioni a tempo indeterminato sono in parte compensate da maggiori imposte sulle "rendite finanziarie" (non saranno tassati i titoli di Stato),e da una ottimistica stima di recupero di base imponibile derivante dalla lotta all'evasione (sempre maggiori entrate sono).Meno dettagliate  sono le in...more

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  • Back-Of-The-Envelope Economics

    Monetary Policy Mistakes

    Nice graph from roubini.com  on rather bizarre policy rate adjustments....Tweets by @pmanasse !function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=/^http:/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+"://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js";fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document,"script","twitter-wjs"); ...more

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Emre Deliveli The Kapali Carsi

Emre Deliveli is a freelance consultant, part-time lecturer in economics and columnist. Previously, Emre worked as economist for Citi Istanbul, covering Turkey and the Balkans. He was previously Director of Economic Studies at the Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey in Ankara and has has also worked at the World Bank, OECD, McKinsey and the Central Bank of Turkey. Emre holds a B.A., summa cum laude, from Yale University and undertook his PhD studies at Harvard University, in Economics.

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