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  • Foreign Policy

    Tim Cook Coming Out Has Turned China Into a Nation of 5th-Graders

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  • Foreign Policy

    Tim Cook Coming Out Has Turned China Into a Nation of 5th-Graders

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  • Foreign Policy

    Tim Cook Coming Out Has Turned China Into a Nation of 5th-Graders

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  • Foreign Policy

    U.S.-India Strategic Partnership: Shared Vision, Different Prescription

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  • Foreign Policy

    U.S.-India Strategic Partnership: Shared Vision, Different Prescription

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  • Foreign Policy

    U.S.-India Strategic Partnership: Shared Vision, Different Prescription

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  • International Political Economy Zone

    Sympathy for the Monsanto: An Unenviable PR Job

    Anti-Monsanto campaigners have fun with Photoshop.Environmentally-conscious readers will no doubt be aware of the controversies surrounding Monsanto. If there ever was a poster child for The Evils of Big Ag(riculture), Monsanto would be it. Heavy pesticide use. Genetically modified organisms. Terminator seeds. Monoculture. As if things were not bad enough with environmentalists already, Monsanto also has to deal with the next generation of food consumers who are generally more picky about what they eat. Largely unfamiliar with agriculture, millennials are susceptible to being swayed mostly by overwhelmingly negative press about modern agriculture.Given such a scenario, think about being a millennial tasked with generating positive PR for Monsanto. Whereas most wouldn't ...more

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  • China Matters

    Clap Harder or the Hong Kong Tinkerbell Gets It!

    Chronicle of a Leak Foretold[I was preparing to post this on October 24.  If I had, I would have gained major Nostradamus cred, since I predicted the next shoe to drop from the pro-Beijing oppo research caterpillar would probably drop on Benny Tai’s head.  That’s because the leaks seem to track the Occupy strategy and the central figure at each phase, and I figured it was time for Benny Tai to assume more overt direction of the movement--and get doxed.  I wrote:  If Benny Tai has any skeletons in his closet—or even if he doesn’t, not really--I suppose the pro-Beijingers will try to bring it to our attention soon enough.Instead, I got sidetracked by parsing the fuzzy reporting on the circumstances of the aborted Occupy referendum.  Curse...more

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  • MEI Editor's Blog

    The Day's Best Diplomatic Exchange About Furniture

    It all started with Sweden's recent decision to recognize the State of Palestine.That inspired Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman to comment:It is too bad that the government of Sweden has chosen to adopt the measure that does a lot of damage and has no benefits. Sweden must understand that relations in the Middle East are much more complicated than self-assembly furniture at IKEA.To this, Swedish Foreign Minister Margot Wallstrom reportedly told CNN:I think it’s a sign of a sense of humor, and I will be happy to send him a flat pack of IKEA furniture and he will also see that what you need to put that together is, first of all, a partner. You also need to cooperate and you need a good manual. I think we have most of those elements if we want to use them al...more

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  • Foreign Policy

    If the Republicans Win Big on Tuesday, So Will the CIA

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  • Foreign Policy

    If the Republicans Win Big on Tuesday, So Will the CIA

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  • Foreign Policy

    If the Republicans Win Big on Tuesday, So Will the CIA

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  • Foreign Policy

    Pentagon Request Shows Scant Science Supports White House’s Ebola Assurances

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  • MEI Editor's Blog

    Tunisia: The Official Results

    The overall outcome of the Tunisian Parliamentary election has been quite clear since Monday, but the slowness of the official count meant that the official (semi-) final numbers were only released early this morning.Beji Caid Essebsi's Nidaa Tounes Party, representing secularists, the old guard Establishment, the UGTT labor union, etc. holds the largest bloc with 85 seats and 39.17% of the vote.; the Islamist Ennahda, which held the largest bloc in the former Parliament/Constitutional Assembly, won 69 seats with 31.79% of the vote. The remainder of the 217 seats are distributed follows: Free Patriotic Union, 16 seats; Popular Front, 15 seats; Afek Tounes. 8 seats; the remaining seats are scattered among eight smaller parties (including two seats for the party known as ...more

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  • Moneybox

    How to Scale Your Artisanal Business in Four Easy Steps

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  • Moneybox

    Chevy Executive Blows His World Series Presentation. Chevy Social Media Turns It Into a Hashtag.

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  • MEI Editor's Blog

    October 29, 1914: Admiral Souchon Forces Turkey into the Great War

    Since last summer I have been noting each of the dates marking the centennial of events that brought the Ottoman Empire into the Great War on the side of Germany and Austria a century ago. Divisions in the Ottoman Cabinet, despite the signing of a secret alliance in August, kept the Turks from fully committing to war. The Ottoman War Minister, Enver Pasha, was enthusiastic enough, but others were dragging their feet. Germany was increasingly exasperated with its putative ally's excuses. On this day a century ago, without Cabinet approval, including that of Minister of Marine Djemal Pasha, the Commander of the Turkish Navy simply started the war on his own.Souchon and his staff in FezzesYou may recall a key fact from our earlier discussions of the Goeben and Breslau (now...more

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  • Moneybox

    What Happens During the First Years of Your Startup

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  • The World

    FT podcast: World Weekly with Gideon Rachman

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  • Informed Comment

    This day in History: Madrid Arab-Israeli Peace Conference (a Process that Netanyahu later Boasted of Derailing)

    The Madrid peace conference convened October 30, 1991, hosted by President George H. W. Bush and Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev, aimed at initiating a peace settlement between Israel and the Arabs. Bush senior warns that if Israel and Palestinians don’t make peace, sooner or later “weapons of mass destruction” could be deployed in the Middle East. “President George H. W. Bush speaks with Baker Institute founding director Edward P. Djerejian about the legacy of the 1991 Madrid Peace Conference. The interview was conducted in October 2011 as part of a Nov. 2 Baker Institute conference co-hosted with the United States Institute of Peace.” Baker Institute: “President George H. W. Bush on the Madrid Peace Conference’s legacyR...more

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  • Fabius Maximus

    Prof Botkin gives us good news about our changing climate

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  • Informed Comment

    Jerusalem tensions over al-Aqsa Mosque turn bloody as Far Right-winger is Shot

    BETHLEHEM (Ma’an) — Right-wing Jewish activist Yehuda Glick was shot and injured at a rally in Jerusalem on Wednesday evening, Israeli police and medical sources said. Glick was reportedly shot in his upper body at “close range” at an event outside the Menachem Begin Heritage Center in Jerusalem, where a number of Israeli members of Knesset and right-wing activists were in attendance, Israeli news site Ynet said. Ynet also reported that Jerusalem police said the shooter was on a motorcycle at the time of the incident, though the details were still unclear. Israeli police spokesman Micky Rosenfeld confirmed to Ma’an only that a “known right-wing activist” had been shot. The attack was reported after a conference focused on the re...more

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  • Informed Comment

    GOP Voter Suppression: Comedian Louis Black says F#%! it!

    ACLU “At a photo shoot with ACLU’s Voting Rights Project Director Dale Ho, ACLU voting rights ambassador Lewis Black gets so f#%!in’ tired of politicians trying to deny people the right to vote. The ACLU is fighting against bad voter suppression laws across the country. The rules of voting are still in flux in many states, so to make sure you know your rights when you vote, go to https://www.aclu.org/letmevote ” ACLU Videos: “Lewis Black Says F#%! Voter Suppression ...more

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  • International Political Economy Zone

    How Venezuela Gives Socialism a Bad Name

    Living the socialist dream? Shortages of basic goods abound. It is hard to dislike the aim of socialism--egalitarianism in resource distribution among the plenty. However, years and years of experience with these regimes from the Soviet Union and all sorts of Marxist-Leninist offshoots demonstrates that, in practice, the opposite holds true. In China, for instance, the Communist Party elite--ostensibly the vanguard of the proletariat--hardly paved the way for more equitable distribution of wealth but merely concentrate political-economic power in the hands of a few.  It's the same story nearly everywhere you go.The most notable current experiment in mounting a holy war against all things capitalist is Venezuela where the same rhetoric is evident: self-styled "...more

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  • Foreign Policy

    U.N. Whistleblower Decries 'Cover-Up of a Cover-Up' Over Darfur Debacle

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  • Foreign Policy

    Defense Breaks With the White House on Ebola Response

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  • The World

    Smart Reads 29 October 2014

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  • The World

    The French culture minister who doesn’t read books

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  • International Political Economy Zone

    Play With ≈$4 Trillion: Reading China's Falling Reserves

    PBoC guv'nor Zhou Xiaochuan, second most powerful person in the world? If you were to be reborn as a global power broker, chances are you'd choose being Zhou Xiaochuan going by the numbers alone. Yet it is a lot less glamorous than it sounds waking up each morning with $3.89 trillion to play with. You'd think the world's your oyster as you make Norway's sovereign wealth fund look like a pipsqueak, but no, it's not that simple. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) is not an independent central bank after all. Nor does it have enough human capital in comparison to commercial fund management concerns in the West:But there are limits as well. A government-affiliated institution is not a real company. It can never establish an efficient corporate governance structure as ...more

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  • Macro and Markets

    European Banks: Balance Sheet Clarity But A Cloudy Future

    The European banking assessment results, released yesterday, were generally well received by markets. The test looked like earlier U.S. and Spanish stress tests in terms of structure, the results were in line with market expectations, and the report provided enough detail to keep analysts busy for weeks. This morning, the euro is firmer and European stocks were up a bit before weak data clawed them back.  Will this test succeed where previous efforts have failed and ultimately restore confidence in European banks? I suspect that your answer to this question depends on your outlook for the European economy. Without growth, Europe remains over-indebted, its banks undercapitalized, and a crisis return looks likely. European Central Bank (ECB) led the review and identif...more

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  • Achenblog

    World Series still not over, scientists discover

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  • China Matters

    Democracy: You Keep Using That Word, I Do Not Think It Means What You Think It Means

    FAQ 5 for the aborted Occupy Central poll:How can you prevent “blue ribbon” supporters from voting?Each potential voter will need to sign a declaration saying they support the Umbrella Movement.  We welcome blue ribbon people to support the Umbrella Movement.Not as silly as it sounds, IMO.  Actually, to quote Admiral Akhbar, It’s A Trap!Specifically, if blues wanted to “freep” the poll en masse in an attempt to vote down the proposals, it would be at the cost of swelling the ranks of putative Umbrella Movement supporters.Other than "democracy", another pair of words that had a hard time navigating the epistemological shoals are “proposed” and “offered” in referring to representations made by the HKSAR government side during the televised dia...more

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  • China Matters

    The Unelected Battle the Selected: Democracy in Hong Kong

    [Corrected some mis-stated names of various organizations and added reference to Alliance for True Democracy declining to comment on authenticity of documents--CH 10/23/14][On the self-censorship front, while discussing the issue of whether the Alliance for True Democracy document dump is forged or authentic, I compare the leaked audio file--which would seem almost impossible to fabricate--with the alleged minutes for the same meeting.  In the process I unkindly take the piss of an Anglophone supporter of the democracy movement.  I identified him by name because there was some glitch in how he was identified in the minutes that I felt needed to be addressed.  Now I think the caravan has moved on and in the interests of Anglophone comity I have removed his...more

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  • Rodger A. Payne's Blog

    Iraq's New Old Chemical Arsenal

    Yesterday, a student asked me about the recent news reports indicating that Iraq did, in fact, have "weapons of mass destruction" back in 2002 and 2003 when the U.S. was attempting to justify a "preemptive" war. The New York Times reported that American soldiers were injured in the past decade by chemically-armed munitions found in Iraq.Already, a slew of articles in the media have debunked the claim that this vindicates George W. Bush and his Iraq misadventure. This Washington Post piece is perhaps the best since it primarily quotes Bush administration claims from the pre-war period.The Times piece certainly does not try to claim that Bush is vindicated:The discoveries of these chemical weapons did not support the government’s invasion rationale. After...more

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  • Fabius Maximus

    The truth emerges about Afghanistan, an indictment of our war. Now comes the hard part: learning from failure.

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  • The Arabist

    Car bomb mapping art

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  • Fabius Maximus

    We awake from fears of an Ebola pandemic in America. Now let’s ask who’s responsible…

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  • Achenblog

    Ebola and the BP oil spill

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  • Macro and Markets

    October Monthly: Breaking the Sanctions Code

    At last week’s World Bank and IMF meetings, I heard sharply divided views about the future path of sanctions and what lessons should be drawn from their use against Russia. Have they been successful, and at what cost to the West? Should sanctions be extended to the payments system, which enhances their power but risks damaging a global public good? What signal does it send to other countries? With growing evidence that sanctions are materially damaging the Russian economy, concerns have been raised that sanctions could become too easy an option for U.S. policymakers. My October monthly (here) looks at the question and suggests strategies for convincing other countries (and markets) that this new weapon will be reserved for combating serious violations of internati...more

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  • Macro and Markets

    When meetings matter—The World Bank and IMF Convene

    There are many reasons cited for this week’s market turndown and risk pullback, including concerns about global growth, Ebola, turmoil in the Middle East, and excessive investor comfort from easy money. What has been less commented on is the role played by last weekend’s IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings. Sometimes these meetings pass uneventfully, but sometimes bringing so many people together—policymakers and market people—creates a conversation that moves the consensus and as a result moves markets. It seems this year’s was one of those occasions. As the meetings progressed, optimism about a G-20 growth agenda and infrastructure boom receded and concerns about growth outside of the United States began to dominate the discussion. The perception that policym...more

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  • The Arabist

    Egyptian media: a shameless parallel dimension

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  • The Arabist

    Saudi Arabia sentences Shia cleric to death for "sedition"

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  • Achenblog

    Ebola fears spread faster than the virus

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  • Rodger A. Payne's Blog

    Prior to War: Debate, then Vote

    Interesting exchange about the legitimacy of America's wars, from the October 1, 2014, The Colbert Report. Stephen: Can I tell you why I think the American people might be tired of it? And want to go back to bed? And I’m speaking for myself, and, therefore, the American people. We’re asked to be afraid of it. You get to think about it all the time or you did get to think about it all the time and say to yourself, “You know what? That little corner of the desert looks like it could blow up real good. Let’s go over there.” Whereas, we’re asked to be afraid of it and we’re reminded to be afraid of it, but we no longer have much of a voice in it because our Congressional representatives won’t vote on whether we’re supposed to do anything about i...more

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  • Rodger A. Payne's Blog

    2014 Louisville Sluggers

    This is my (very late) annual post about the Louisville Sluggers of the Original Bitnet Fantasy Baseball League. We draft twice each season -- once prior to the regular season and again at the beginning of July. I didn't get around to putting this post together until now. Sorry, though I doubt anyone cares. I'll just report draft results and transactions for the second half season -- my A season did not go all that well.Prior posts: 2013,  2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008,  2007, and 2004.Why do we draft twice each year? Well, the OBFLB crowns champions for both the "A" first half and "B" second half of the baseball season, divided by the All Star game. My team's most recent championship was in 2008B. The current team is all-but-assur...more

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  • The Belgravia Dispatch

    What Tom Friedman's Interview Revealed About Obama's Foreign Policy

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  • The Moor Next Door

    New World Politics Review Piece

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  • The Belgravia Dispatch

    The Peace Process Ends: Not With a Bang, But a Whimper

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  • The Belgravia Dispatch

    The Horror: Iraq Class of '03 Mounts Rerun

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  • The Becker-Posner Blog

    Farewell

    In memoriam: Gary S. Becker, 1930-2014. The Becker-Posner blog is terminated. Richard A. Posner

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  • The Moor Next Door

    The Army and the Status Quo

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  • The Moor Next Door

    RND Sketch

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  • The Becker-Posner Blog

    Sabbatical Notice

    Starting this weekend, we will be taking a one-month sabbatical from blogging. We will resume at the end of that period.

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  • The Becker-Posner Blog

    The Embargo of Cuba: Time to Go- Becker

    The US embargo of Cuba began in 1960, a year after Fidel Castro turned this island toward communism. It was extended to food and medicines in 1962, the same year as the showdown with Russia over the installation of missiles there. The embargo has prevented American companies from doing business with Cuba, and discouraged tourism to Cuba. The American government also tried with quite limited success to prevent other countries from trading with Cuba. In general economic embargoes are undesirable because they interfere with free trade among countries. Yet a case could be made for an embargo against Cuba. Castro not only allowed Russian missiles to be installed in Cuba, just 90 miles from Florida, but was also actively trying to interfere in other countries by sending troop...more

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  • democracyarsenal.org

    Can the F-35 Replace the A-10?

    by Nickolai Sukharev  One of the big decisions the United States Air Force has considered over the last few months is whether to retire the A-10 Thunderbolt II fleet as a cost saving measure while developing and procuring the F-35A Lightening II. Given the Budget Control Act caps on Pentagon spending and the need to better allocate funds, officials have expressed their preference to prioritize multi-mission platforms in the inventory. But the problem is that the F-35A is not a replacement for the A-10’s close air support. The reason is simple: it lacks comparable capabilities despite a higher operating cost. Given the constrained budgetary environment, the comparative cost to maintain and operate the two aircraft should be a decisive consideration. The A-10 is a...more

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  • democracyarsenal.org

    After Geneva Talks A Consensus on Moving Forward

    By Homa Hassan The two-day round of P5+1 negotiations with Iran just concluded in Geneva and Western diplomats are carefully reviewing a detailed proposal presented by Iran. As this proposal is being reviewed ahead of the follow-on meetings in November it is important to look at what the realistic prospects of a deal will look like. Going into this week’s talks, a number of commentaries came out attempting to set negotiations up for failure. However, it is widely agreed that a negotiated solution to Iran’s controversial nuclear program is the best way to achieve a sustainable solution and a recent survey of reports and recommendations from bipartisan think tanks and high-level experts demonstrates a broad consensus on how to approach negotiations a...more

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  • democracyarsenal.org

    TPP, TTIP and Getting America's Competitiveness Back on Track

    By Marcela Heywood Last week’s Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Bali, Indonesia marked further progress for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and set an ambitious goal to finish negotiations by the end of the year. Although the U.S. government shutdown – and President Obama’s absence in Bali – did not hinder the trade talks, it did call America’s credibility into question. Government shutdown could threaten both TPP and Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) negotiations by displaying uncertainty in U.S. economic and foreign policy priorities. Congress needs to reach an agreement and prioritize TPP and TTIP, as they are necessary policy initiatives to boost American competitiveness, stimulate the economy, and exert soft power to cr...more

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  • International Political Economy at the University of North Carolina

    Why US Financial Hegemony Will Endure

    Will and I have a piece, now ungated, over at a fantastic new online magazine called Symposium. Our article translates much of the main points of our Perspectives Piece (co-authored with Thomas and Andy Pennock) for popular consumption. We are also blogging over there this week in support of the article. Please do check out our writing this week on the magazine's website, as well as the other great content on the site....more

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  • International Political Economy at the University of North Carolina

    Foreign Direct Investment, Human Rights, INGOs

    One of the major areas of underdeveloped research within political science is the interaction between non-state actors. From an international political economy perspective, the literature has largely ignored the interaction of various non-state actors that are growing in importance, and its effects on different forms of trade. In a recently published article "Avoiding the Spotlight: Human Rights Shaming and Foreign Direct Investment" by Colin Barry, Chad Clay and Michael Flynn, they lay the foundation for examining this interaction. They examine the interaction between non-state actors (INGOs) and multinational corporations (MNCs) and the extent to which private actors' choices to invest in countries are affected by the reputational costs of doing business in those...more

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  • International Political Economy at the University of North Carolina

    Verizon, Vodafone, and Measuring FDI

    Recently back from APSA in Chicago, I've been reflecting on the state of our knowledge about FDI (or perhaps more accurately, cross-border management stakes in enterprises). That, and working on my dissertation, applying for academic jobs, and teaching. Oh, and telling everyone who'll listen about my Optimus Prime sighting on Michigan Ave.Anyway, I find a post-conference review of the discipline is generally a good way to consider potentially fruitful lines of new inquiry. In my experience, the quality of papers at conferences can be rather hit-or-miss. This generally fits into my view of conferences as important sources of external deadlines for getting drafts done as well as interacting with other scholars in more informal settings such as the hotel bar/lobby/over-cro...more

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  • The Duck of Minerva

    Why Defining Terrorism Matters

    This is a guest post by Karolina Lula, a PhD student at Rutgers-Newark.---------------The terrorism industry has grown exponentially since 9/11.  Whenever a terrorist attack occurs, a plethora of terrorism scholars eagerly spoon out their collective wisdom.  The chance to be included in the over-caffeinated media spotlight justifies decades cooped up in small offices pouring over data. In a certain respect, terrorism scholars mirror their subject.  They both love an audience.              Despite their growing presence in the media, academics fail to persuade others about what terrorism is in the first place.  Language evolves and academia is only one source of influence.  T...more

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  • The Duck of Minerva

    Planning to be Shocked

    One of the most repeated, and most dubious, axioms about strategy is the notion that being proactive is wiser than being reactive, and that reactivity is something we should be allergic to. In the words of Briain's foreign secretary William Hague, 'the nation that is purely reactive in foreign policy is in decline.' Likewise, written into the folklore of the US foreign policy establishment is the notion that the 'strategic shocks' that struck America - such as Imperial Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor or 9/11 - happened because Washington was passively sleeping. A quick read of Presidential speeches on the anniversary of that attack shows how powerful the creed of active vigilantism lives on, even if it doesn't power all of America's day to day behaviour.Never mind that a...more

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  • The Duck of Minerva

    Quick Note

    If you haven't been seeing any posts for a few months, that's because we moved to http://www.whiteoliphaunt.com/duckofminerva/. Some readers have informed us that the redirect may not be behaving for some subset of RSS feed readers. If that's the case, you can subscribe to the new feed at http://www.whiteoliphaunt.com/duckofminerva/?feed=rsshttp://whiteoliphaunt.com/duckofminerva/?feed=rss...more

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  • Political Animal

    Wednesday's Mini-Report

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  • Political Animal

    The need for partisan cover

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  • Political Animal

    House rebuffs Boehner, scraps F-35 Jet Engine Program

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Dan Steinbock

Dr Dan Steinbock is a recognized expert of the multipolar world. He focuses on international business, international relations, investment and risk among the major advanced economies (G7) and large emerging economies (BRICS and beyond).

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