The popular story has it that the recent woes of the Russian ruble can be explained by a mix of decreasing oil prices and sanctions imposed by the West as a result of Russia’s aggression in Ukraine. This appeared to hold until November. Various sanctions have been in force for some months now and until [...]
I looked at emerging market (EM) exchange rates against the dollar on the night of Dec. 17, right before the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision. The Turkish Lira was the second most depreciated currency against the dollar, right after the Russian ruble. Here the into. to my latest Hurriyet Daily News (HDN) column, where [...]
I just came across a very interesting bit of research, A Guide to Paradigmatic Self-Marginalization: Lessons for Post-Keynesian Economists by Leonhard Dobusch and Jakob Kapeller; you can find it here: http://www.dobusch.net/pub/uni/Dobusch-Kapeller%282009%29A_Guide_to_Paradigmatic_Self-marginalization-WP.pdf. I realize this is not going to be of interest to many of our readers, as it is a sort of “inside the halls [...]
Central Bank Divergence
The divergence of monetary policies in the advanced economies continues to roil financial markets.
Today’s Eurozone fiscal discipline is the amalgamation of reforms implemented over ten years, with the latest and largest changes agreed in crisis settings. This column argues that the result fosters neither growth nor stability since actual fiscal policy has been powerfully procyclical. The focus on intermediate targets has distracted attention from the final objectives – [...]
The attempt to dismantle the so-called Islamic State is important but also extraordinarily challenging. The U.S. must maintain a meaningful coalition to strike ISIL without simultaneously keeping Hafez Al Assad in power and without offending all the non-ISIL Sunnis in Iraq.